CONVEX
Past Release · Consumer Credit

August 2023 Consumer Credit Report

Tuesday, August 1, 2023

Consumer Credit printed at $4945B, a -0.28% move from the prior reading of $4959B.

Headline Reading
Total Consumer Credit
$4945B
Aug 1
Prior
$4959B
Absolute
$14B
Percent
-0.28%

What to Watch For

  • Total consumer credit change ($ billions)
  • Revolving credit growth (credit card signal)
  • Non-revolving credit (auto + student loans)
  • Year-over-year growth rate
  • Context from delinquency data

Expected Market Reaction

Strong credit growth in healthy economy: consumer discretionary bid, growth confirmed. Strong credit growth with rising delinquencies: stress signal, financials weaken. Credit contraction: recession flag, defensive positioning.

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