Compare Metrics Side by Side
Explore relationships between key economic indicators and market metrics. Each comparison includes live data, historical performance, and analysis of why the relationship matters.
Cross-country macro comparisons
Live rate, yield, inflation, and FX comparisons across the major economies and regional blocs. Stable structural narrative plus refreshable divergence reads, updated every six hours.
Compare gold and bitcoin prices side by side. Live data, historical performance, and analysis of the two leading store-of-value assets.
Compare headline CPI and core PCE inflation measures side by side. Understand the gap between the two key US inflation gauges.
Compare the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields side by side. Track yield curve dynamics and recession signals in real time.
Compare the Fed funds rate against the 10-year Treasury yield. Track the term premium, the recession-signaling inversion, and how Fed policy interacts with market-determined long rates.
Compare the VIX fear gauge and high yield credit spreads. Two key measures of market stress and risk appetite.
Compare the trade-weighted US dollar and gold price. Track the classic inverse relationship between the dollar and gold.
Compare SPY and QQQ performance side by side. Track the gap between broad market and tech-heavy growth equities.
Compare S&P 500 and Russell 2000. SPY +3.95 percent YTD vs IWM +11.8 percent YTD as small caps explode on Iran ceasefire progress, retreating oil, and Fed cut expectations.
Compare 5Y breakeven (~2.58%) vs 10Y breakeven (~2.40%). Inflation term structure shows near-term inflation pressure above long-term Fed target.
Compare a recession probability composite against the VIX. Track whether equity volatility is pricing macro recession risk appropriately, with historical disconnects providing the strongest cross-asset signals.
Compare the Sahm Rule recession indicator and the unemployment rate. Track whether labor market deterioration is accelerating.
Compare SPY at $708 vs DIA at $492.21. The 500-stock cap-weighted S&P versus the 30-stock price-weighted Dow. Both are top US equity indices but with very different concentration profiles.
Compare QQQ at $656 vs IWM at ~$246. The cleanest mega-cap-tech vs small-cap pair trade with QQQ +1 percent YTD vs IWM +11.8 percent YTD as small caps explode in April 2026.
Compare cap-weighted SPY against equal-weight RSP. RSP outpaced SPY by ~5pp in early 2026 as mega-cap dominance faded. The cleanest market-breadth indicator in equity markets.
Compare US large-cap equities against emerging markets. EEM gained 53 percent over trailing 12 months versus SPY 17.4 percent, the largest sustained EM outperformance in over a decade.
Compare US equities against international developed markets (Europe, Japan, Australia). EFA outperformed SPY 21.82 percent vs 17.4 percent over trailing 12 months, the first sustained reversal of US exceptionalism in years.
Compare US and Chinese equity performance. SPY at $708 vs FXI at $35.56 (April 5 2026, 52-week range $29.21-$42.00). The cleanest US-vs-China cross-asset trade in equity markets.
Compare US and Japanese equity performance. EWJ +31.7 percent trailing 12 months vs SPY +17 percent as Japanese equities reach multi-decade highs on Tokyo Stock Exchange reforms and yen weakness.
Compare technology (XLK) against utilities (XLU). Track the growth-defense rotation signal that has been altered by the AI data center power demand cycle starting in 2024.
Compare technology against financials sector. Track XLK at $155 vs XLF at $51.73, the rate-cycle rotation between long-duration tech and rate-sensitive financials, and the AI-vs-banking sector battle.
Compare XLE energy against XLK technology. April 2026: WTI $95.85 driving XLE rally vs XLK at recent highs on AI capex. The ultimate old-vs-new economy rotation pair.
Compare cyclical consumer spending (XLY) against defensive staples (XLP). The XLY/XLP ratio signaled the 2000 and 2007 market tops and remains the cleanest single sector-rotation cyclical indicator.
Compare broad financials (XLF) against regional banks (KRE). Track systemic vs localized banking stress.
Compare defensive healthcare against cyclical industrials. Track XLV at $147.77 vs XLI at $171.18, the 0.863 ratio, and what late-cycle rotation looks like in April 2026.
Compare energy sector against the S&P 500. Track XLE at $55 vs SPY at $708, the only S&P sector positive YTD 2026, and the Iran war-driven oil price catalyst.
Compare XLRE Real Estate sector against SPY S&P 500. XLRE at $44.48 yielding 2.44 percent vs SPY at $708. The clearest read on rate-sensitivity vs broad-market growth dynamics.
Compare the semiconductor sector against the broader Nasdaq. Track whether the AI trade is broadening or narrowing.
Compare long bond and 10-year Treasury yields. Track the 30Y at 4.91 percent vs 10Y at 4.31 percent, the 60 basis-point spread, and what fiscal-driven term premium looks like in April 2026.
Compare 5-year and 2-year Treasury yields. Track 5Y at 3.94 percent vs 2Y at 3.78 percent, the 16 basis-point belly spread, and what Fed-cut pricing looks like in April 2026.
Compare TLT 20Y+ Treasury at $87 with 4.49 percent yield against IEF 7-10Y Treasury. The cleanest duration-risk pair in fixed income with TLT down 26 percent over 5 years on rate normalization.
Compare Treasury bonds and equities. Track the 60/40 portfolio relationship and risk parity dynamics.
Compare high yield and investment grade corporate bond ETFs. Track credit risk appetite through tradeable instruments.
Compare inflation-protected bonds against nominal long bonds. A tradeable proxy for inflation expectations.
Compare SHY 1-3Y Treasury at ~$83 with 3.85 percent yield against TLT 20Y+ Treasury at $87. The cleanest extreme-duration pair: SHY is essentially cash; TLT carries massive duration exposure.
Compare CPI consumer prices against PPI producer prices. March 2026 PPI +4.0 percent YoY (largest since Feb 2023) vs CPI +3.3 percent YoY. Track inflation transmission from producer to consumer.
Compare shelter CPI against core CPI. March 2026 shelter +3.0 percent YoY vs core CPI +2.6 percent YoY. Track shelter as the dominant core CPI driver.
Compare supercore services (core services ex shelter) against core PCE. Core PCE 3.0 percent (March 2026 FOMC) vs supercore stuck flat for a year. The Fed's most-watched inflation gauges.
Compare Michigan year-ahead inflation expectations (4.7 percent April 2026) against 10-year TIPS breakeven (2.38 percent). The most extreme survey-vs-market divergence on record.
Compare food CPI against energy CPI. March 2026 food +2.7 percent YoY (stable) vs energy +12.5 percent YoY (gasoline +18.9 percent). The two most volatile and politically sensitive inflation components.
Compare gold spot price and SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD). Track the tracking error and expense drag of holding physical gold via the largest gold ETF.
Compare US WTI and international Brent crude oil benchmarks. Track the spread between domestic and global oil prices.
Compare gold against 10-year TIPS real yield. Gold at $4,722.19 with 10Y TIPS at 1.85 percent. The single most important fundamental relationship for gold prices, with structural breakdown emerging in 2024-2026.
Compare copper (the economic bellwether) against gold (the safe haven). The copper-to-gold ratio is a growth indicator.
Compare crude oil against US equities. WTI at $95.85 vs SPY at $708. Track whether rising oil reflects growth strength or supply-shock taxation of the economy.
Compare the oil commodity ETF against energy sector stocks. USO tracks WTI futures with roll-cost drag; XLE tracks 22 integrated oil majors and E&P companies. Track operational value vs commodity exposure.
Compare Bitcoin and Ethereum prices side by side. Track the two largest cryptocurrencies and their evolving relationship.
Compare bitcoin against the S&P 500 (SPY). Track the rolling correlation that has ranged from -0.2 to 0.6, the post-ETF institutional flow effect, and whether bitcoin is becoming a high-beta tech proxy or retaining alternative-asset properties.
Compare bitcoin against the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ). Track the 0.55 average correlation, the AI capex cycle effect, and bitcoin's emergence as a high-beta tech proxy.
Compare bitcoin against the iShares 20+ Year Treasury (TLT). Track the real-rate connection, the 2022 joint decline, and how the two assets diverge under inflation versus liquidity regimes.
Compare Bitcoin perpetual futures funding rate against spot price. Track positioning and leverage through the perpetual swap market, the cleanest crypto-specific positioning gauge.
Compare the dollar bull ETF against gold. Track the inverse relationship through tradeable instruments.
Compare EUR/USD against the broad trade-weighted dollar. Track ECB-Fed policy divergence, the euro's 58 percent weight in DXY, and the 160 basis point rate gap.
Compare USD/JPY against the broad trade-weighted dollar. Track the yen carry trade, BoJ policy normalization, and the 300 basis point Fed-BoJ rate gap that drives global capital flows.
Compare the unemployment rate against job openings. Track the Beveridge curve and labor market tightness.
Compare weekly initial jobless claims (~225K) against continuing claims (~1.95M) April 2026. Track whether layoffs are accelerating and whether fired workers are finding new jobs.
Compare job creation against the unemployment rate. Track whether the labor market is in expansion or contraction.
Compare wage growth against consumer inflation. Track whether workers are gaining or losing purchasing power.
Compare JOLTS quits rate (1.9 percent April 2026) against unemployment (4.3 percent). Track labor market confidence and worker bargaining power.
Compare Conference Board LEI (-1.3% six-month decline through January 2026) against SPY (~$712, S&P 500 record territory ~7,126). Track whether leading indicators support the equity rally.
Compare US Industrial Production against Capacity Utilization. March 2026 industrial production at 101.8 with capacity utilization 75.7 percent (3.7pp below 1972-2025 long-run average). Track manufacturing sector health and inflation implications.
Compare US retail sales against University of Michigan consumer sentiment. Retail sales +0.7 percent MoM March 2026 vs sentiment 49.8 (April 2026, weakest reading on record). The classic hard data vs soft data divergence.
Compare housing starts against building permits. January 2026 starts +7.2 percent to 1.487M annualized, permits -5.4 percent to 1.38M. Track the housing construction pipeline.
Compare Case-Shiller home prices against 30-year mortgage rate. Case-Shiller +1.2 percent YoY (January 2026) with mortgage rate 5.98-6.22 percent. Track US housing affordability dynamics.
Compare XHB SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF against SPY. XHB at $109.44 vs SPY at $708 with 30-year mortgage rate at 5.98 to 6.22 percent. Housing-cycle leading indicator vs broad-market.
Compare BBB (lowest IG) vs AAA (highest IG) corporate spreads. Track the credit-quality curve, the 60 basis point April 2026 spread near 25-year tights, and the IG-side recession warning signal.
Compare the VIX fear gauge against the S&P 500. Track the inverse relationship between volatility and equity prices.
Compare the Federal Reserve balance sheet (WALCL) against US equities. Track how QE, QT, and emergency facilities have shaped SPY since 2008.
Compare M2 money supply growth against headline CPI inflation. Track the monetarist thesis from the 2020 surge through the 2023 contraction and the 2025 reacceleration.
Compare total bank reserves at the Fed against equities. Track the plumbing of the financial system.
Compare 10Y-2Y yield curve (+31bp re-steepened) against Conference Board LEI (-1.3% six-month change). Two classic recession indicators side by side.
Compare NY Fed 12-month-ahead recession probability (~18.8% April 2026) against unemployment rate (~4.3%). Track whether recession risk is rising before it shows up in jobs data.
Compare the Sahm Rule recession indicator against weekly initial jobless claims. Track the two key labor-market signals (smoothed and high-frequency) that historically lead recession turning points.
Compare the CNN Fear & Greed Index against US equities. Track the contrarian value of extreme sentiment readings.
Compare the equity put/call ratio against the VIX. Track how 0DTE flows have created a structural divergence between option demand and the headline volatility gauge.
Compare speculative positioning in oil futures against the oil price. Track whether the crowd is leaning the right way.
Compare speculative positioning in gold futures against the gold price. Track whether gold moves have positioning support.
Compare speculative futures positioning in the S&P 500 against the index price. Track institutional conviction.
Compare CME Bitcoin futures positioning against the spot price. Track institutional crypto sentiment.
Compare crude oil price against market inflation expectations. Track whether energy prices are driving inflation fears.
Compare the Fed funds rate against headline CPI. Track real policy rate, the Volcker-era restraint comparison, and whether the Fed is ahead of or behind the inflation curve.
Compare ECB deposit rate against Fed funds rate. April 2026: ECB at 2.00 percent (last cut June 2025), Fed at 3.50-3.75 percent (paused since December 2024). 150 basis point divergence drives EUR/USD.
Compare BoE Bank Rate against Fed Funds Rate. April 2026: BoE at 3.75 percent (paused December 2025), Fed at 3.50-3.75 percent. UK inflation 4 percent expectations vs US persistent inflation. Track GBP/USD differential.
Compare DAX 40 German equity benchmark against S&P 500. DAX at 24,129 vs SPY at $708. The clearest old-vs-new economy global rotation pair.
Compare UK FTSE 100 against S&P 500. FTSE 100 at 10,425 (April 24 2026) vs SPY $708. The clearest value + commodity + dividend pair vs US tech-led broad-market.
Compare Euro Stoxx 50 eurozone blue chips against S&P 500. Top holdings include ASML and Novo Nordisk. STOXX 600 +17.5 percent YTD in EUR vs S&P 500 flat in EUR translation. The clearest European value vs US tech rotation pair.
Compare European VSTOXX against US VIX. VSTOXX hit 3-year high in early April 2026 amid trade disruption concerns. The clearest test of whether fear is global or region-specific.
Compare net liquidity (Fed balance sheet minus TGA minus RRP) against Bitcoin. April 2026: WALCL $6.7T, TGA targeting $1.025T peak late April, RRP near zero. BTC at $78,126. The cleanest crypto liquidity-thesis pair.
Compare Convex Recession Probability Index against ICE BofA HY Option-Adjusted Spread (~280bp tight). Track whether credit markets are pricing recession appropriately.
Compare real GDP against unemployment rate. Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q1 2026 +1.2 percent vs unemployment 4.3 percent (March 2026). Track Okun's Law and growth-employment dynamics.
Compare Bitcoin against the broad dollar index. The 30-day correlation hit -0.90 on April 24, 2026, the most extreme inverse correlation in nearly four years, with 81 percent of BTC short-term moves explained by DXY.
Compare Bitcoin against the 10-year US Treasury yield. BTC at $78,126 vs 10Y at 4.31 percent. Track how long-duration rates affect the leading digital asset through real-yield and discount-rate channels.
Compare Bitcoin against the Federal Funds Rate. BTC at $78,126 vs Fed funds at 3.50-3.75 percent. Track Bitcoin cycles aligning with Fed policy cycles, the cleanest macro liquidity bet in crypto.
Compare bitcoin against M2 money supply. Track the debasement thesis, the 70 to 90 day liquidity lag, and the $98 trillion global M2 backdrop.
Compare Ethereum to the S&P 500. ETH at $2,353.84 vs SPY at $708. The cleanest high-beta-risk-asset vs broad-market trade with ETH outpacing BTC in April 2026.
Compare Ethereum against gold. ETH at $2,322.61 vs gold at $4,722.19 (ATH $5,602.22 January 28 2026). The cleanest digital-platform-token vs traditional-store-of-value trade.
Compare Ethereum to the Nasdaq 100. ETH at $2,353.84 vs QQQ at $656. The cleanest leveraged-tech-beta vs Nasdaq trade with ETH as crypto-tech proxy.
Compare Ethereum to the broad dollar index. ETH at $2,322.61 vs DXY weakened 6-8 percent YTD 2026. ETH-DXY 30-day correlation typically -0.65 to -0.75, modestly less extreme than BTC at -0.90.
Compare Bitcoin against the VIX fear index. BTC at $78,126 vs VIX at 18.76 (March 2026 peak 31.05). Track crypto sensitivity to equity volatility shocks.
Compare Bitcoin against HY credit spreads. BTC at $78,126 vs HY OAS at 2.84 percent (April 2026). Track whether crypto is leading or lagging real credit market stress.
Compare gold and WTI crude oil. Gold at $4,722.19 vs WTI at $95.85 puts the ratio at approximately 49 barrels per ounce, near 2020 COVID extremes and well above the 15-20 long-run average.
Compare gold against Brent crude oil. Gold at $4,722.19 vs Brent at approximately $100 puts the international gold-oil ratio at 47, complementing the WTI version with a more global lens.
Compare gold ($4,722 record territory) against Freeport-McMoRan ($68.28, ATH $70.71 April 17 2026). Precious vs industrial metals through producer lens.
Compare gold against TIPS. Gold at $4,722.19 vs TIP ETF tracking 10-year TIPS at 1.85 percent real yield. The two primary inflation hedges with diverging behavior in 2024-2026.
Compare gold and the S&P 500. Gold at $4,722.19 vs SPY at $708 puts the gold/SPY ratio at 6.67, near multi-year highs. The cleanest safe-haven vs risk-asset rotation gauge.
Compare WTI crude oil against the Energy Select SPDR ETF (XLE). Track XOM and CVX (40 percent combined weight), capex discipline era dynamics, and the Iran war catalyst.
Compare WTI crude against the US dollar index. WTI at $95.85 with DXY weakened 6-8 percent YTD 2026. Track the classic inverse relationship that has reasserted in 2025-2026.
Compare copper against WTI oil. Copper at $5.98/lb COMEX vs WTI at $95.85/barrel. Two industrial commodities with diverging structural drivers in 2024-2026 (copper electrification cycle vs oil supply shock).
Compare copper against the S&P 500. Copper at $5.98/lb vs SPY at $708. Dr. Copper as growth signal complementing equity-market signals, with current 2024-2026 era favoring copper structural demand.
Compare EWG iShares MSCI Germany ETF against SPY. EWG at $42.32 with DAX at 24,129 and SPY at $708. The classic global cyclical vs US large-cap pair.
Compare the French CAC 40 against S&P 500. CAC 40 at 8,249 (April 24 2026) vs SPY $708. The clearest luxury + energy + healthcare European pair vs US tech.
Compare emerging markets against developed markets outside the US. EEM trailing 12 months +53 percent vs EFA +21.82 percent. The cleanest EM-vs-DM rotation excluding US dominance.
Compare Apple against the S&P 500. Track AAPL's 7.6 percent SPY weight, services revenue acceleration, the Apple Intelligence rollout, and the iPhone replacement cycle.
Compare Apple against the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ). Track AAPL at 7.6 percent QQQ weight, the iPhone 17 cycle, Apple Intelligence rollout, and AAPL's position as the second-largest QQQ holding.
Compare Microsoft against the S&P 500. Track Azure cloud growth, the $110 billion AI capex commitment, Copilot adoption, and MSFT's 5.7 percent SPY weight.
Compare Microsoft against the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ). Track MSFT at 5.7 percent QQQ weight, the Azure-and-Copilot enterprise AI thesis, and the $110 billion 2026 capex commitment.
Compare Nvidia against the S&P 500. Track the AI capex flagship trade, NVDA at $5 trillion market cap as the world's most valuable company, and the dominant single-stock driver of US equity returns.
Compare Nvidia against the semiconductor ETF. Isolate Nvidia-specific leadership within semis.
Compare Nvidia against the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ). Track NVDA at 9 percent QQQ weight, the AI capex narrowing, and how much of QQQ's 2024 to 2026 rally depends on NVDA alone.
Compare Alphabet against the S&P 500. Track Google Cloud at 48 percent growth, Gemini at 750 million monthly users, the $175 to $185 billion 2026 capex, and the antitrust overhang.
Compare Amazon against the S&P 500. Track AWS at $142 billion annual revenue, the $200 billion 2026 capex commitment (largest in US corporate history), and the dual retail-cloud exposure.
Compare Meta Platforms against the S&P 500. Track META at 3.7 percent SPY weight, the $115 to $135 billion 2026 AI capex, the Scale AI $14.3 billion acquisition, and Llama with 1 billion+ downloads.
Compare Tesla against the S&P 500. Track TSLA at $1.2 trillion, the high-beta retail-driven mega-cap (50-60 percent realized volatility), and the applied-AI-vs-broad-market risk appetite signal.
Compare Tesla against the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ). Track TSLA at 3.5 percent QQQ weight, the robotaxi rollout (135 vehicles in Austin), Optimus production timeline, and Tesla as the highest-beta Magnificent 7 holding.
Track JPMorgan against the financial sector ETF. JPM at ~$310 ($873.62B mcap) is 11.33 percent of XLF, second-largest after Berkshire Hathaway at 11.46 percent. The cleanest mega-bank vs financial sector trade.
Compare JPMorgan against the S&P 500. Track JPM at $873 billion market cap, Q1 2026 record earnings ($16.5 billion), the largest US bank, and the financial-sector flagship signal.
Track ExxonMobil against the energy sector ETF. XOM at $148.85 ($627.67B mcap) is 22.85 percent of XLE, so the pair isolates everything in XLE that is not Exxon.
Track ExxonMobil against the S&P 500. XOM at $148.85 ($627.67B mcap, ~1.3 percent of S&P) versus SPY at $708. The cleanest oil-vs-equities pair trade.
Track Walmart against the consumer staples ETF. WMT at $131.94 ($1.036T mcap) is the largest XLP holding at 11.85 percent. The pair captures value retail vs the broader staples complex.
Track Walmart against the consumer discretionary ETF. WMT at $131.94 ($1.036T mcap) is staples; XLY is dominated by Amazon (22.3 percent) and Tesla (19.2 percent). The cleanest staples-vs-discretionary pair.
Track UnitedHealth against the healthcare sector ETF. UNH at $350.82 ($276.23B mcap) is 6.10 percent of XLV. The pair captures managed care vs the broader sector dominated by Lilly and pharma.
Track UnitedHealth against the S&P 500. UNH at $350.82 ($276.23B mcap, ~0.7 percent of S&P) versus SPY at $708. The cleanest managed-care vs broad-market trade.
Track Caterpillar against the industrial sector ETF. CAT at $835.24 ($383.96B mcap) is the largest XLI holding at 7.06 percent. The pair captures heavy machinery vs broader industrial sector dynamics.
Track Caterpillar against the S&P 500. CAT at $835.24 ($383.96B mcap, ~0.8 percent of S&P) versus SPY at $708. The cleanest global-capex bellwether vs broad market trade.
Compare the two largest US software-and-hardware companies. Track AAPL at $4.04 trillion vs MSFT at $3.14 trillion, the consumer-vs-enterprise tech split, and the AI strategy divergence.
Compare the two dominant AI infrastructure plays. Track NVDA at $5.06 trillion vs MSFT at $3.14 trillion, the chip-vs-cloud rotation, and the customer-supplier dynamic.
Compare Alphabet and Meta. Track GOOGL at $4.1 trillion vs META at $1.71 trillion, the digital advertising duopoly, and the AI strategy divergence (cloud vs open-source).
Compare the two highest-volatility mega caps. Track TSLA at $1.2 trillion vs NVDA at $5.06 trillion, applied AI (robotaxi, Optimus) vs AI infrastructure, and the most retail-driven mega-cap pair.
Track healthcare against the S&P 500. Monitor defensive leadership and healthcare-specific catalysts.
Compare communication services against the S&P 500. Track XLC at $115.54 vs SPY at $708, Meta and Alphabet driving 38 percent combined weight, and the AI advertising supercycle.
Compare XLC communication services against XLK technology. April 2026: XLK $155.03 (AI capex). XLC dominated by Meta + Alphabet. Track digital advertising vs AI infrastructure leadership.
Compare XLI industrials against XLY consumer discretionary. Both cyclical sectors with different drivers: XLI capex-driven, XLY consumer-driven. April 2026 with both cyclicals testing demand.
Compare financials against the S&P 500. Track XLF at $51.73 vs SPY at $708, the 13 percent S&P weight financial sector, JPM record Q1 2026 earnings, and the rate-cycle exposure.
Compare XLRE REITs against XLU utilities. XLRE at $44.48, XLU at $46. Two rate-sensitive defensives with different AI capex exposure (data center REITs vs power utilities).
Compare XLRE Real Estate Select Sector SPDR against TLT long Treasury. XLRE at $44.48 yielding 2.44 percent, TLT at $87 yielding 4.49 percent. Both rate-sensitive but XLRE adds property cash-flow fundamentals.
Compare XHB homebuilders against XLY consumer discretionary. April 2026: XHB at $109.44 (housing resilient) vs XLY pressured by Tesla. Isolate housing-specific strength within consumer cycle.
Compare XLE energy against XLF financials. April 2026: WTI $95.85 driving XLE rally vs XLF at $51.42 with 14-year-high bank NIMs. Two cyclicals with different inflation sensitivities.
Compare XLE energy against XLI industrials. April 2026: XLE rallying on Iran war oil shock; XLI rallying on defense + AI data center capex. Two cyclicals with different drivers.
Compare XLV healthcare against XLP consumer staples. Two defensive sectors with different drivers: XLV biotech/GLP-1, XLP consumer staples + retail. April 2026 GLP-1 winners drive divergence.
Compare XLU utilities against XLP consumer staples. April 2026: XLU at $46 (NextEra +26 percent on AI data center) vs XLP at $80 (Costco strong, GLP-1 headwinds). Two defensive sectors with different drivers.
Compare XLRE REITs against XHB homebuilders. April 2026: XLRE at $44.48 (data center subsector + bond proxy) vs XHB at $109.44 (housing resilience). Existing property vs new construction.
Track the 10Y Treasury at 4.31 percent alongside the T10Y3M spread at 63 basis points. Read what the NY Fed recession-probability model is signaling in April 2026.
Compare the 10-year and 5-year Treasury yields. Track 10Y at 4.31 percent vs 5Y at 3.94 percent, the 37 basis-point spread, and what the back end of the belly is signaling in April 2026.
Compare 30Y Treasury at 4.65 percent vs 5Y Treasury at 4.05 percent. April 2026 5s30s spread approximately 60 basis points. Pure term-premium and long-run inflation expectation gauge.
Comprehensive Treasury yield curve hub: 1Y-2Y, 1Y-30Y, 2Y-30Y, EFFR-SOFR plumbing. Fed expectations decoder, the 2022-2024 deepest inversion since 1981, the 2024-2026 199bp re-steepening, and why the 26-month inversion was the longest false positive ever.
Compare the two most-watched yield curve measures. Track T10Y3M at 63 bps vs T10Y2Y at 53 bps, the 10 bp differential, and which recession signal activates first.
Compare Moody's BAA corporate yield against the 10-year Treasury. Track credit risk premium.
Compare Moody's AAA corporate yield against the 10-year Treasury. Monitor top-tier credit risk.
Compare the BAA corporate yield against AAA. Track credit quality differentiation.
Compare the 5Y5Y forward inflation expectation against the current 5Y breakeven.
Compare TIPS against short-duration nominal Treasuries. Track inflation protection demand.
Compare 7-10 year against 1-3 year Treasuries. Track curve steepening and duration demand.
Compare Sahm Rule (TRIGGERED July 2024, 21+ months without recession) vs nonfarm payrolls (~159M total, slowing to 25K avg/month). Monitor labor-market-based recession odds.
Compare core CPI against core PCE (the Fed's preferred measure). Track the two main core inflation gauges.
Compare core PCE against headline PCE. Track food and energy contributions to the Fed's preferred gauge.
Compare nominal GDP against real GDP. Track inflation contribution to nominal growth.
Compare Brent crude against the S&P 500. Track global oil versus US equities.
Compare natural gas against the S&P 500. Track the commodity most sensitive to weather and LNG demand.
Compare the copper miner against the S&P 500. Track copper-cycle leadership within equities.
Compare the agricultural commodity ETF against the S&P 500. Track ag-inflation versus equities.
Compare USD/JPY against the US 10-year Treasury yield. Track how the US-JGB rate differential drives carry trade math, with the spread compressing from 350 to 190 basis points since 2024.
Compare EUR/USD against the US 10-year Treasury yield. Track ECB-Fed policy divergence through the rate differential and the German bund-Treasury spread that anchors the pair.
Compare GBP/USD against broad dollar index. Sterling at $1.345-1.35 in April 2026 with DXY below 100. Track sterling-specific moves vs broad dollar dynamics.
Compare EUR/GBP cross against dollar index. EUR/GBP at 0.8669 with 175bp BoE-ECB rate differential. Isolate Europe-UK relative dynamics independent of dollar interference.
Compare the Fed balance sheet against long-duration Treasuries. Track QE and long-rate dynamics.
Compare BBB (lowest investment grade) corporate spreads against high yield spreads. Track the credit quality cliff, fallen angel risk, and the 100 basis point line that defines the IG-HY boundary.
Compare high-yield corporate bonds (HYG) against the S&P 500. Track credit-equity risk-appetite confirmation, the 262 basis point HY spread, and divergence signals.
Compare LQD investment-grade corporate bonds against SPY. LQD at $109.52 yielding 4.52 percent; SPY at $708 trading 22x forward earnings. The clearest cross-asset capital structure pair available through ETFs.
Compare LQD investment-grade corporates against TLT long Treasuries. IG OAS at 80 basis points is near 25-year tights with LQD at $109.52 and TLT at $87. The cleanest IG-credit-versus-pure-duration pair available through ETFs.
Compare HYG high-yield credit against TLT long Treasury. HY OAS at 2.84 percent (tight) with TLT at $87. The cleanest credit-cycle vs duration-cycle pair available through ETFs.
Compare bitcoin against the Fed balance sheet (WALCL). Track the QE-driven 2020 to 2021 rally, QT-driven 2022 drawdown, and the post-2024 ETF era decoupling.
Compare ethereum against the iShares 20+ Year Treasury (TLT). Track the staking yield (3.2 percent), the July 2024 spot ETF approval, and the March 2026 staking ETF approval that combined ETH with bond-like income.
Compare European VSTOXX volatility against US S&P 500. VSTOXX hit 3-year high in early April 2026 with SPY at $708. The cleanest cross-region risk-off detector.
Compare gold spot at $4,722 against VIX at 18.76. Two safe-haven indicators with distinct drivers: gold for debasement/geopolitical, VIX for equity volatility.
Compare Fed reverse repo balances against the S&P 500. Track liquidity drain versus equity resilience.
Compare 1Y Treasury at 3.85 percent vs 10Y Treasury at 4.31 percent. April 2026 1s10s spread approximately 46 basis points (positive). Track short-to-long curve shape.
Compare high-yield bonds against short Treasuries. Track credit risk premium.
Compare IG corporates against short Treasuries. Track IG credit plus duration.
Compare headline CPI against WTI crude oil. Track gasoline pass-through, the Iran war shock, and how energy moves headline inflation.
Compare headline CPI against headline PCE. Track the two main inflation gauges.
Compare gold ($4,722 record territory) against 10Y Treasury yield (4.31% sticky high). Track real-rate-driven gold dynamics + monetary debasement era.
Compare gold ($4,722) against M2 (~$22.5T April 2026). Track gold as monetary debasement hedge tracking money-supply growth.
Compare gold ($4,722) against Fed balance sheet WALCL (~$6.7T, paused QT). Track gold as QE-sensitive asset.
USO vs SPY analysis: futures-based oil ETF mechanics, contango roll-yield drag, the 2020 negative-oil episode, and why USO is a trade not an investment.
Compare the VIX against the yield curve. Track two distinct recession-risk signals.
Compare the VIX against the 10Y yield. Track volatility versus rates dynamics.
Compare Nvidia against the 10Y yield. Track AI growth stock duration sensitivity.
Compare JPMorgan against regional banks. JPM at ~$310 ($873.62B mcap) versus KRE at $70.64. The cleanest mega-bank vs regional-bank trade with CRE maturity wall in focus.
Compare Caterpillar against copper. Track two global cycle proxies.
Compare Tesla against Freeport-McMoRan. Track EV demand versus copper mining.
Compare Amazon against consumer discretionary. Track AMZN's dominance in the sector.
Compare Alphabet against communication services. Track Google dominance in the sector.
Compare Meta against communication services. Track Meta's contribution to the sector.
Compare XLK Technology Select Sector against the 10Y Treasury yield. XLK at $155.03 (52-week range $94.64-$156.07) with 10Y yield 4.31 percent. The tech sector duration sensitivity test.
Compare XLF financials against 10Y Treasury yield. XLF at $51.42 (April 25 2026) with 10Y at 4.31 percent. Top holdings include JPM 11.33 percent, Berkshire 11.46 percent, Visa 7.02 percent. Track bank NIM sensitivity.
Compare XLRE REITs against 10Y Treasury yield. XLRE at $44.48 with 10Y at 4.31 percent. Data center REITs (EQIX, DLR) ~18 percent of XLRE drive AI capex tailwind despite duration drag.
Compare XLU utilities against 10Y Treasury yield. XLU at $46 (April 24 2026) with 10Y at 4.31 percent. Top holdings: NextEra 14.01 percent, Southern 7.23 percent, Duke 6.96 percent. Track bond-proxy with AI data center growth narrative.
Compare XLP consumer staples against 10Y Treasury yield. Top holdings: PG, COST, KO, WMT, PEP. April 2026 with 10Y at 4.31 percent. Track defensive sector rate sensitivity plus inflation pass-through.
Compare XLE energy against 10Y Treasury yield. WTI at $95.85 driving XLE near 52-week highs; 10Y at 4.31 percent. Iran war oil shock catalyzed sector outperformance.
Compare XLI industrials against 10Y Treasury yield. Top holdings: GE, Caterpillar, Boeing, Raytheon, Honeywell. April 2026 with 10Y at 4.31 percent. Track capex cycle vs rates.
Compare KRE regional banks against 10Y Treasury yield. KRE at $66.66 (April 2026) with 10Y at 4.31 percent. Higher beta to rates than XLF; key indicator for regional banking stress and CRE risk.
Compare XHB Homebuilders ETF against the 30-year fixed mortgage rate. XHB at $109.44 with mortgage rate at 5.98 to 6.22 percent. The clearest read on housing-affordability dynamics.
Compare EUR/USD against gold. Track dollar-alternative trades.
Compare USD/JPY (~159) against gold ($4,722 record territory). Track yen-dollar dynamics + gold debasement.
Compare USD/CNY against China Large-Cap equity (FXI). Track PBOC daily fix policy, the September 2024 stimulus rally, and how Beijing manages currency-equity tradeoffs.
Compare GBP/USD against FTSE 100. Sterling at $1.345-1.35 with FTSE 100 at 10,379 (down from 10,641 recent high). The cleanest currency-adjusted UK equity exposure trade.
Compare 10Y breakeven inflation (~2.4%) against gold ($4,722 record territory). Track gold vs market-implied inflation expectations.
JPM vs WMT analysis: largest US bank vs largest US retailer as two competing reads on consumer health, recession bellwether dynamics, and Q1 2026 earnings divergence.
UNH vs WMT analysis: largest health insurer vs largest US retailer, Q1 2026 earnings beat with raised guidance, Medicare Advantage 2026 plan changes, and how two defensive names move on entirely different cycles.
XOM vs CAT analysis: energy cyclical vs industrial cyclical, the 2026 Iran oil shock vs the data-center capex cycle, and why two cyclicals can move on completely different drivers in the same year.
Compare Microsoft against Alphabet. Track MSFT at $3.14 trillion vs GOOGL at $4.1 trillion, the enterprise software vs digital advertising split, and the AI-cloud-search competition.
Compare Amazon against Microsoft. Track AWS at $142 billion vs Azure at $90 billion annualized, the cloud market share war (32 vs 25 percent), and the $200 billion vs $110 billion 2026 capex commitments.
Compare Amazon against Tesla. Track AMZN at $2.84 trillion vs TSLA at $1.2 trillion, the consumer discretionary giants split between e-commerce/cloud and EV/AI applications.
Compare Nvidia against Apple. Track NVDA at $5.06 trillion vs AAPL at $4.04 trillion, AI infrastructure vs consumer hardware, and the world's top two most valuable companies head-to-head.
Compare initial claims against the S&P 500. Track labor stress versus equity markets.
Compare nonfarm payrolls (~159M total, slowing to 25K avg/month) against SPY (~$712 record territory). Track labor market vs equity valuations.
Compare unemployment rate against the S&P 500. Track labor market versus equities.
Compare Michigan consumer sentiment against the S&P 500. Track sentiment-versus-price.
Compare total auto sales against the S&P 500. Track big-ticket consumer spending.
Compare SMH semiconductors against 10Y Treasury yield. SMH at $482 with 10Y at 4.31 percent. NVDA ~20 percent, TSMC ~13 percent. AI capex narrative dominant in 2024-2026 era.
Compare QQQ Nasdaq 100 against 10Y Treasury yield. QQQ at $656 with 10Y at 4.31 percent. Track tech-heavy growth duration sensitivity vs AI capex narrative override.
Compare SPY S&P 500 against 10Y Treasury yield. SPY at $708 with 10Y at 4.31 percent. The most-watched equity-rates pair for stock-bond regime classification.
Compare IWM Russell 2000 against 10Y Treasury yield. IWM at $245 with 10Y at 4.31 percent. Track small-cap credit-sensitivity.
Compare TIPS ETF against the 10Y nominal yield. Track real yield dynamics.
Compare TIPS against intermediate nominal Treasuries. Isolate breakeven inflation.
Compare nominal GDP against the S&P 500. Track real-economy growth versus equity valuations.
Compare Exxon equity against oil. Track integrated oil equity leverage.
Compare the EM dollar index against the EM equity ETF.
Compare the dollar ETF against the S&P 500. Track dollar versus US equities through ETFs.
Compare the Adjusted NFCI against the S&P 500. Track excess financial stress.
Compare the Chicago Fed NFCI against the S&P 500.
Compare Nvidia against the Fed balance sheet. Track AI leader versus liquidity.
Compare Microsoft against the Fed balance sheet.
Compare Tesla against 10Y Treasury yield. TSLA at $376 (April 2026, -14 percent YTD) with 10Y at 4.31 percent. Track AI/robotaxi narrative duration sensitivity vs Q1 delivery miss.
Compare JPMorgan against the yield curve. Track bank NIM dynamics.
Compare technology against the VIX. Track tech risk-on leadership.
IWM vs VIX analysis: small-cap VIX-beta of -1.2, the credit-cycle amplifier, the Russell 2000 reconstitution effect, and why small-caps lead recoveries despite trailing into stress.
EEM vs VIX analysis: why emerging-markets equity has higher VIX-beta than SPY, the dollar-correlation amplifier, and how 2008/2013/2018/2020 stress episodes reset the EM volatility relationship.
Compare long Treasuries against small caps. Track duration versus small-cap risk.
Compare gold ($4,722, retraced 16% from $5,602 ATH January 2026) against QQQ (~$656, AI-led tech rally). Track hedge asset vs growth equity rotation.
Compare gold against small-cap equities.
Compare VIX against the Fed balance sheet. Track volatility versus Fed liquidity.
Compare Sahm Rule (TRIGGERED July 2024, 21+ months without recession) against SPY (~$712, S&P 500 record territory ~7,126). Track recession indicator vs equity-market discount.
Compare the 10Y-3M curve against the S&P 500.
Compare XHB homebuilders against IWM small-caps. April 2026: XHB at $109.44 (housing resilience) vs IWM at $245 (lagging on AI capex era). Two domestic-economy proxies.
Compare the mortgage rate against the S&P 500.
Compare permits against the S&P 500.
Compare weekly hours worked against the S&P 500.
Compare the effective (realized) fed funds rate against the Fed target. Track how closely the market tracks the Fed target.
Compare the US goods trade balance against nominal GDP. Track the external deficit as a share of the economy.
Compare total industry capacity utilization against the S&P 500. Track real-economy slack against equity valuations.
Compare DIA at $492.21 vs QQQ at $656. The cleanest old-economy-vs-tech pair trade with Dow underperforming Nasdaq for 8 of the last 10 years.
Compare EUR/GBP cross against GBP/USD. EUR/GBP at 0.8669 with GBP/USD at $1.345-1.35. Triangulate sterling strength between euro and dollar through identity-based currency triangulation.
Compare bank reserves against the overnight reverse repo balance. Track the Fed liability split between banks and money funds.
Compare average weekly hours (~34.2 March 2026) against average hourly earnings (+3.5% YoY March 2026, +0.1% real). Track labor-market intensive vs extensive margin.
Compare JOLTS job openings (~7.6M April 2026) against nonfarm payrolls (~159M total). Track labor demand pipeline vs realized hiring.
Comprehensive RSP equal-weight comparison hub: RSP vs QQQ, SPY, DIA, IWM, EFA, EEM. Concentration math, the 2024-2026 mega-cap reversal, the quarterly rebalance mechanic, and a practical framework for when equal-weight wins.
Comprehensive global equity rotation hub: EFA vs QQQ, EFA vs DIA, EEM vs IWM, DIA vs IWM. Tracks the 14-year US-exceptionalism cycle, the 2026 EFA outperformance reversal, and which global rotation regime is dominant.
GLD vs SPY analysis: gold ETF mechanics, 2024-2026 gold rally to $4,680, real-yield inverse, central-bank buying, and the tax-treatment trap most allocators miss.
Compare overnight SOFR against the 10Y Treasury yield. Track the short-long funding spread.
Compare the SOFR overnight rate against the effective fed funds rate. Track secured-vs-unsecured overnight funding.
Compare the 30Y fixed mortgage rate against the 30Y Treasury yield. The cleanest single-pair view of mortgage credit spread, prepayment-option cost, and US housing affordability.
Compare durable goods orders against the S&P 500. Track business capex against equity prices.
Compare the 1Y Treasury yield against the fed funds rate. Track market expectations for Fed policy over the next year.
Compare USD/CNY at 6.83 against USD/JPY at 159.30. Two major Asian currencies with very different policy frameworks: PBoC managed float vs BoJ market-driven yen.
Compare the Federal Reserve policy rate and the Bank of Canada overnight rate side by side. Track US-Canada policy divergence and its impact on USD/CAD.
Compare US Federal Reserve rate and Reserve Bank of Australia cash rate side by side. Track AUD/USD drivers and Asia-Pacific policy divergence.
Compare US Federal Reserve rate and Brazil Selic rate side by side. Track emerging-market policy divergence and the BRL carry trade.
Compare US 10Y Treasury at 4.31 percent vs Canada 10Y at approximately 3.65 percent. Track long-end policy divergence and the Canada-US term-premium spread.
Compare US 10Y at 4.31 percent vs Australia 10Y at approximately 4.10 percent. Track Asia-Pacific long-end policy divergence and AUD carry dynamics.
Compare VIX equity volatility against MOVE Treasury volatility β the two dominant cross-asset volatility benchmarks. Track the VIX/MOVE ratio, historical divergence patterns, and regime signals across equities and rates.
Compare FINRA margin debt and S&P 500 levels side by side. Track retail leverage cycles, margin-call risk, and equity-market froth indicators.
Compare Sahm Rule (triggered July 2024, 21+ months without recession) and 10Y-2Y Treasury yield curve (re-steepened to ~31bp) side by side. Track two leading recession signals.
Compare OECD Composite Leading Indicators for US (~99.5 April 2026) and Euro Area (~99.0). Track transatlantic cycle divergence narrowing as US softens + Eurozone bottoms.
Compare 5-year breakeven inflation and core CPI side by side. Track market-based inflation expectations against realized core inflation.
Compare total US money market fund assets (ICI) and S&P 500 side by side. Track cash-on-the-sidelines dynamics and risk-asset rotation.
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Data sourced from FRED, CoinGecko, CBOE, and other providers. This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.