Financial Tools
Interactive dashboards powered by 200+ live economic indicators. Free. No account required. Embeddable and citeable.
Flagship · Live
US Recession Probability
Composite CVRP from the yield curve, Sahm Rule, credit spreads, jobless claims, and leading indicators. Updated daily.
9%
Low
as of May 18, 2026
Macro Risk
Composite indicators for the key macro regimes and tail risks.
What are the odds of a recession?
Recession Probability
Composite CVRP from yield curve, Sahm Rule, credit spreads, claims, and leading indicators. Now with historical chart and NBER overlay.
Is liquidity easy or tight?
Global Financial Conditions
NFCI, Convex CNLI net liquidity, credit spreads, VIX, and major-economy proxies. Tight or easy in one glance.
Is the JPY carry about to unwind?
Carry Trade Risk
USD/JPY level, rate differentials, realized FX vol, CFTC yen positioning, and CRAI risk appetite. Historical unwind comparisons included.
Is the macro data accelerating or rolling over?
Macro Data Momentum
Eight growth, labor, inflation, and activity indicators scored against their own five-year history. Composite momentum and per-series percentile ranks.
Rates & Policy
Treasury curve, Fed funds path, and market-implied policy expectations.
Inverted, flat, or steep?
Yield Curve Monitor
Interactive US Treasury curve with 2s10s, 3m10y, 2s5s, 5s30s spreads. Inversion tracker and days-inverted counter.
Where is the Fed headed?
Fed Rate Path Simulator
Compare market-implied Fed path with dovish, base, and hawkish scenarios. Cross-asset impact matrix included.
Commodities & Markets
Supply-shock detection, positioning, and cross-asset signals.
Are oil markets pricing stress?
Oil Shock Monitor
WTI, Brent, nat gas with momentum, 30-day realized vol, CFTC positioning, and Brent-WTI spread. Historical shock comparisons included.
Where are we in markets today?
Right Now
Live snapshot of current market regime, key indicators, biggest movers, and what to watch. Updates every 5 minutes.
What moves together right now?
Correlation Matrix
Live 1-year cross-asset correlation matrix across 24 benchmark tickers covering equities, bonds, FX, commodities, and crypto.
Planning & Analysis
Decision tools and planning scaffolds for investors and researchers.
How much has inflation cost you?
Inflation Calculator
Enter your birth year and salary to see purchasing-power erosion over your lifetime. Uses live CPI data.
Structure a macro scenario end-to-end
Scenario Builder
Build a disciplined scenario: thesis, triggers, time horizon, asset exposures, base-rate probability. Export as JSON, Markdown, or URL.
Pull the data into your workflow
Free Data API
Free JSON/CSV API for 200+ macro series. Treasury yields, Fed funds, credit spreads, inflation, FX, commodities. Attribution required.
Embed these tools on your site
Each tool can be embedded via iframe with automatic updates. See our developer docs or the Embed button on individual tools.