Economic Activityquarterly
Real GDP
Inflation-adjusted GDP, the definitive measure of economic output.
The Real GDP is currently $24B, last updated .
$24B
1W +0.49%1M +0.49%3M +0.49%
Updated 1h agoStatistical forecast 2026
Model-based central estimate, 68% and 95% confidence bands for Real GDP, blended across current macro regimes.
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Economic activity indicators reveal whether the economy is expanding or contracting in real time. ISM PMI readings above 50 signal expansion, while GDP growth tells the definitive story each quarter. Leading indicators like the Conference Board LEI can flag downturns months in advance, giving traders a head start on positioning.
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Recent Data
Download CSV| Date | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | $24B | +0.49% |
| Oct 1, 2025 | $24B | +0.12% |
| Jul 1, 2025 | $24B | +1.08% |
| Apr 1, 2025 | $24B | +0.95% |
| Jan 1, 2025 | $24B | -0.16% |
| Oct 1, 2024 | $24B | +0.46% |
| Jul 1, 2024 | $23B | +0.82% |
| Apr 1, 2024 | $23B | +0.89% |
| Jan 1, 2024 | $23B | +0.21% |
| Oct 1, 2023 | $23B | +0.84% |
| Jul 1, 2023 | $23B | +1.15% |
| Apr 1, 2023 | $23B | +0.63% |
| Jan 1, 2023 | $22B | +0.72% |
| Oct 1, 2022 | $22B | +0.69% |
| Jul 1, 2022 | $22B | +0.72% |
| Apr 1, 2022 | $22B | +0.16% |
| Jan 1, 2022 | $22B | -0.25% |
| Oct 1, 2021 | $22B | +1.72% |
| Jul 1, 2021 | $22B | +0.83% |
| Apr 1, 2021 | $21B | +1.70% |
| Jan 1, 2021 | $21B | +1.40% |
| Oct 1, 2020 | $21B | +1.13% |
| Jul 1, 2020 | $21B | +7.76% |
| Apr 1, 2020 | $19B | — |
Related in Economic Activity
Nominal GDP
US gross domestic product in current dollars.
Industrial Production
Industrial production index, measures factory, mining, and utility output.
Capacity Utilization
Industrial capacity utilization rate, high readings signal inflationary bottlenecks.
Retail Sales (ex Food Svc)
Advance retail sales excluding food services, consumer spending momentum.
Explore Further
Forecast 2026
Real GDP Outlook
Scenario-weighted forecast using regime implied approach.
Comparison
Real GDP vs Unemployment Rate
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Comparison
Nominal GDP vs Real GDP
Nominal GDP (FRED series GDP) measures total US output in current dollars; Real GDP (FRED GDPC1) strips out inflation by...
Scenario
What Happens When GDP Contracts?
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Scenario
What Happens When Real GDP Turns Negative?
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Category
All Economic Activity Data
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Frequently Asked Questions
▶What is Real GDP?
Inflation-adjusted GDP, the definitive measure of economic output.
▶How does Real GDP relate to economic activity?
Real GDP is part of the Economic Activity category. Economic activity indicators reveal whether the economy is expanding or contracting in real time. ISM PMI readings above 50 signal expansion, while GDP growth tells the definitive story each quarter. Leading indicators like the Conference Board LEI can flag downturns months in advance, giving traders a head start on positioning.
▶How often is Real GDP updated?
Real GDP is updated once per quarter when the releasing agency publishes new data. Each metric page on Convex shows the exact time of the last data update and provides historical data going back up to five years.
▶Where does Convex source Real GDP data?
Convex sources Real GDP data from the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) API, maintained by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Data is fetched automatically and displayed alongside interactive charts, AI analysis, and historical context.
▶What can I do on the Real GDP chart page?
The Real GDP page includes an interactive chart with selectable time ranges (1 month to 5 years), percentage changes over multiple timeframes, a table of recent readings, AI-generated analysis, and links to related metrics and comparisons.
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Data sourced from FRED, CoinGecko, CBOE, CFTC, and EIA. Updated quarterly. This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.