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10Y Term Premium (ACM)

Adrian-Crump-Moench 10Y term premium, compensation for duration risk.

ByConvex Research Desk·Edited byBen Bleierⓘ·

The 10Y Term Premium (ACM) is currently 0.70%, last updated .

0.70%
1W -1.23%1M +13.66%3M +5.89%
Updated 4h ago
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Statistical forecast 2026
Model-based central estimate, 68% and 95% confidence bands for 10Y Term Premium (ACM), blended across current macro regimes.
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Download dataCSV (full history)·JSON (latest)·View on FRED ↗
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Interest rates set the price of money and ripple through every asset class. An inverted yield curve has preceded every U.S. recession since the 1960s, making this the single most-watched corner of fixed income. Monitoring rate differentials, real yields, and forward expectations helps traders anticipate risk-on or risk-off regime shifts.

Updated 4h ago

AI Analysis

May 14, 2026

Term premium at 70bp (+8bp 1M, ACCELERATING) — investors demanding more compensation for duration risk.

Recent Data

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DateValueChange
May 8, 20260.70%-1.23%
May 7, 20260.71%+1.78%
May 6, 20260.70%-4.35%
May 5, 20260.73%-0.15%
May 4, 20260.73%+3.61%
May 1, 20260.70%-0.03%
Apr 30, 20260.70%-0.52%
Apr 29, 20260.71%+4.86%
Apr 28, 20260.67%+2.18%
Apr 27, 20260.66%+1.96%
Apr 24, 20260.65%-1.71%
Apr 23, 20260.66%+2.94%
Apr 22, 20260.64%+1.43%
Apr 21, 20260.63%+3.12%
Apr 20, 20260.61%-0.62%
Apr 17, 20260.62%-3.54%
Apr 16, 20260.64%+1.92%
Apr 15, 20260.63%+0.79%
Apr 14, 20260.62%-3.37%
Apr 13, 20260.64%-1.32%
Apr 10, 20260.65%+1.51%
Apr 9, 20260.64%-0.56%
Apr 8, 20260.65%-2.31%
Apr 7, 20260.66%—

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Scenario-weighted forecast using scenario weighted approach.
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Frequently Asked Questions

▶What is 10Y Term Premium (ACM)?
Adrian-Crump-Moench 10Y term premium, compensation for duration risk.
▶How does 10Y Term Premium (ACM) relate to yield curve & rates?
10Y Term Premium (ACM) is part of the Yield Curve & Rates category. Interest rates set the price of money and ripple through every asset class. An inverted yield curve has preceded every U.S. recession since the 1960s, making this the single most-watched corner of fixed income. Monitoring rate differentials, real yields, and forward expectations helps traders anticipate risk-on or risk-off regime shifts.
▶How often is 10Y Term Premium (ACM) updated?
10Y Term Premium (ACM) is updated once per day after market close. Each metric page on Convex shows the exact time of the last data update and provides historical data going back up to five years.
▶Where does Convex source 10Y Term Premium (ACM) data?
Convex sources 10Y Term Premium (ACM) data from the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) API, maintained by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Data is fetched automatically and displayed alongside interactive charts, AI analysis, and historical context.
▶What can I do on the 10Y Term Premium (ACM) chart page?
The 10Y Term Premium (ACM) page includes an interactive chart with selectable time ranges (1 month to 5 years), percentage changes over multiple timeframes, a table of recent readings, AI-generated analysis, and links to related metrics and comparisons.
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Data sourced from FRED, CoinGecko, CBOE, CFTC, and EIA. Updated daily. This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.