July 2025 Michigan Sentiment Report
Tuesday, July 1, 2025
Michigan Sentiment printed at 61.70, a +1.65% move from the prior reading of 60.70.
What to Watch For
- •Headline sentiment index level
- •1-year inflation expectations (Fed watches closely)
- •5-year inflation expectations (anchoring signal)
- •Current conditions vs. expectations split
- •Preliminary vs. final revision direction
Expected Market Reaction
Sentiment collapse: consumer discretionary sells off, defensive sectors outperform. Inflation expectations spike: rates up, gold up, dollar volatile. Preliminary readings move markets more than final revisions.
Related Assets Around the Release
Related Scenarios
What happens when consumer sentiment craters? Does it actually predict spending? Historical analysis of confidence crashes and what they mean for markets.
What happens when long-term inflation expectations break above 3%? Fed credibility crisis, policy dilemma, and the risk of a 1970s-style wage-price spiral.
What happens when the stock market enters a bear market? Historical patterns, recovery timelines, asset class reactions, and what separates crashes that recover quickly from those that grind lower.
Get release-day analysis and market reaction framing before consensus forms.