CONVEX
Past Release · New Home Sales

May 2023 New Home Sales Report

Monday, May 1, 2023

New Home Sales printed at 739, a +11.13% move from the prior reading of 665.

Headline Reading
New Home Sales
739
May 1
Prior
665
Absolute
+74
Percent
+11.13%

What to Watch For

  • Sales pace (annualized)
  • Median and average sale price
  • Months of supply at current pace
  • Cancellation rate (builder confidence proxy)
  • Revision to prior month (often large)

Expected Market Reaction

Strong sales: homebuilders rally, lumber and copper up. Weak sales: homebuilders sell off, but sometimes rates fall (growth concern), creating a cross-current. Months of supply above 8-9 signals severe oversupply.

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