Sentiment & Positioningweekly
S&P 500 Net Speculative Positioning
CME E-mini S&P 500 net speculative positioning.
The S&P 500 Net Speculative Positioning is currently -138,905, last updated .
-138,905
1W -40.90%1M -26.33%3M +19.82%
Updated 2h agoStatistical forecast 2026
Model-based central estimate, 68% and 95% confidence bands for S&P 500 Net Speculative Positioning, blended across current macro regimes.
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Positioning data reveals what the market is actually doing, as opposed to what it says it is doing. FINRA margin debt peaked ahead of every major bear market cycle of the last 40 years, while extreme readings in the AAII bull-bear spread are classic contrarian signals. CFTC commitments of traders separates speculative from commercial flow, identifying when large specs are overextended in either direction.
Updated 2h ago
Recent Data
Download CSV| Date | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | -138,905 | -40.90% |
| May 5, 2026 | -98,581 | +1.93% |
| Apr 28, 2026 | -100,522 | +8.58% |
| Apr 21, 2026 | -109,957 | +4.29% |
| Apr 14, 2026 | -114,887 | -166.51% |
| Apr 7, 2026 | -43,108 | -11.14% |
| Mar 31, 2026 | -38,787 | +50.17% |
| Mar 24, 2026 | -77,843 | +30.84% |
| Mar 17, 2026 | -112,552 | +17.35% |
| Mar 10, 2026 | -136,175 | +17.70% |
| Mar 3, 2026 | -165,454 | +11.81% |
| Feb 24, 2026 | -187,614 | -8.30% |
| Feb 17, 2026 | -173,234 | -72.01% |
| Feb 10, 2026 | -100,714 | +22.13% |
| Feb 3, 2026 | -129,329 | -32.31% |
| Jan 27, 2026 | -97,747 | -17.99% |
| Jan 20, 2026 | -82,842 | +31.87% |
| Jan 13, 2026 | -121,596 | -15.01% |
| Jan 6, 2026 | -105,722 | -11.80% |
| Dec 30, 2025 | -94,563 | -14.61% |
| Dec 23, 2025 | -82,506 | +48.08% |
| Dec 16, 2025 | -158,909 | +13.58% |
| Dec 9, 2025 | -183,882 | +2.55% |
| Dec 2, 2025 | -188,693 | — |
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Frequently Asked Questions
▶What is S&P 500 Net Speculative Positioning?
CME E-mini S&P 500 net speculative positioning.
▶How does S&P 500 Net Speculative Positioning relate to sentiment & positioning?
S&P 500 Net Speculative Positioning is part of the Sentiment & Positioning category. Positioning data reveals what the market is actually doing, as opposed to what it says it is doing. FINRA margin debt peaked ahead of every major bear market cycle of the last 40 years, while extreme readings in the AAII bull-bear spread are classic contrarian signals. CFTC commitments of traders separates speculative from commercial flow, identifying when large specs are overextended in either direction.
▶How often is S&P 500 Net Speculative Positioning updated?
S&P 500 Net Speculative Positioning is updated weekly, typically on the same day each week. Each metric page on Convex shows the exact time of the last data update and provides historical data going back up to five years.
▶Where does Convex source S&P 500 Net Speculative Positioning data?
Convex sources S&P 500 Net Speculative Positioning data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Commitments of Traders reports. Data is fetched automatically and displayed alongside interactive charts, AI analysis, and historical context.
▶What can I do on the S&P 500 Net Speculative Positioning chart page?
The S&P 500 Net Speculative Positioning page includes an interactive chart with selectable time ranges (1 month to 5 years), percentage changes over multiple timeframes, a table of recent readings, AI-generated analysis, and links to related metrics and comparisons.
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Data sourced from FRED, CoinGecko, CBOE, CFTC, and EIA. Updated weekly. This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.