10Y Note Net Speculative Positioning in 2007
10Y Note Net Speculative Positioning opened 2007 at 333,771 and closed at 236,037, a -29.28% move for the year. The high of 608,492 was reached on August 14, and the low of 207,289 on February 20.
Monthly Breakdown
| Month | Open | Close | High | Low | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 333,771 | 253,402 | 333,771 | 253,402 | -24.08% |
| Feb | 260,148 | 296,152 | 296,152 | 207,289 | +13.84% |
| Mar | 325,194 | 438,849 | 442,957 | 325,194 | +34.95% |
| Apr | 442,904 | 415,106 | 442,904 | 405,604 | -6.28% |
| May | 405,604 | 358,100 | 439,967 | 358,100 | -11.71% |
| Jun | 213,689 | 345,434 | 345,434 | 213,689 | +61.65% |
| Jul | 347,785 | 514,606 | 514,606 | 280,236 | +47.97% |
| Aug | 606,509 | 392,830 | 608,492 | 392,830 | -35.23% |
| Sep | 326,978 | 292,584 | 333,389 | 292,584 | -10.52% |
| Oct | 349,516 | 311,043 | 349,516 | 263,348 | -11.01% |
| Nov | 392,641 | 409,134 | 461,456 | 367,218 | +4.20% |
| Dec | 442,087 | 236,037 | 442,087 | 236,037 | -46.61% |
Events During 2007
The 2008 Financial Crisis remains the deepest and most instructive market event of the 21st century. Subprime losses cascaded through leveraged balance sheets, froze interbank lending, and forced unprecedented central bank intervention.
US home prices peaked in summer 2006 after a 106% rally from 2000. Subprime mortgage underwriting collapsed in late 2006, setting up the 2008 crisis. The peak is the canonical example of a market top visible only in retrospect.
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