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Mfg New Orders (Nondefense ex Air)

Manufacturers' new orders excluding defense and aircraft, core capex proxy.

ByConvex Research Desk·Edited byBen Bleierⓘ·

The Mfg New Orders (Nondefense ex Air) is currently 82,960, last updated .

82,960
1W +3.40%1M +3.40%3M +3.40%
Updated 25m ago
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Statistical forecast 2026
Model-based central estimate, 68% and 95% confidence bands for Mfg New Orders (Nondefense ex Air), blended across current macro regimes.
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Download dataCSV (full history)·JSON (latest)·View on FRED ↗
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Recession indicators distill complex economic dynamics into actionable signals. The Sahm Rule, triggered when the 3-month average unemployment rate rises 0.5 percentage points above its 12-month low, has a perfect track record since 1970. Combined with yield-curve inversions and declining leading indicators, these metrics help traders identify turning points before they become consensus.

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Recent Data

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DateValueChange
Mar 1, 202682,960+3.40%
Feb 1, 202680,235+1.58%
Jan 1, 202678,990-0.34%
Dec 1, 202579,262+0.82%
Nov 1, 202578,621+0.86%
Oct 1, 202577,948+0.46%
Sep 1, 202577,591+1.02%
Aug 1, 202576,806+0.86%
Jul 1, 202576,154+0.72%
Jun 1, 202575,608-0.58%
May 1, 202576,049+1.90%
Apr 1, 202574,631-1.52%
Mar 1, 202575,781+0.29%
Feb 1, 202575,561-0.54%
Jan 1, 202575,971+1.84%
Dec 1, 202474,595+0.38%
Nov 1, 202474,311+1.19%
Oct 1, 202473,440-1.41%
Sep 1, 202474,487+1.02%
Aug 1, 202473,738+0.42%
Jul 1, 202473,430-0.16%
Jun 1, 202473,544+0.56%
May 1, 202473,137-1.22%
Apr 1, 202474,040—

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Frequently Asked Questions

▶What is Mfg New Orders (Nondefense ex Air)?
Manufacturers' new orders excluding defense and aircraft, core capex proxy.
▶How does Mfg New Orders (Nondefense ex Air) relate to recession indicators?
Mfg New Orders (Nondefense ex Air) is part of the Recession Indicators category. Recession indicators distill complex economic dynamics into actionable signals. The Sahm Rule, triggered when the 3-month average unemployment rate rises 0.5 percentage points above its 12-month low, has a perfect track record since 1970. Combined with yield-curve inversions and declining leading indicators, these metrics help traders identify turning points before they become consensus.
▶How often is Mfg New Orders (Nondefense ex Air) updated?
Mfg New Orders (Nondefense ex Air) is updated once per month when the releasing agency publishes new data. Each metric page on Convex shows the exact time of the last data update and provides historical data going back up to five years.
▶Where does Convex source Mfg New Orders (Nondefense ex Air) data?
Convex sources Mfg New Orders (Nondefense ex Air) data from the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) API, maintained by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Data is fetched automatically and displayed alongside interactive charts, AI analysis, and historical context.
▶What can I do on the Mfg New Orders (Nondefense ex Air) chart page?
The Mfg New Orders (Nondefense ex Air) page includes an interactive chart with selectable time ranges (1 month to 5 years), percentage changes over multiple timeframes, a table of recent readings, AI-generated analysis, and links to related metrics and comparisons.
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Data sourced from FRED, CoinGecko, CBOE, CFTC, and EIA. Updated monthly. This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.