Recession Indicatorsmonthly
OECD Composite Leading Indicator
OECD CLI for the US, designed to anticipate turning points in the business cycle.
The OECD Composite Leading Indicator is currently 99.85, last updated .
99.85
1W +0.14%1M +0.14%3M +0.14%
Updated 4h agoStatistical forecast 2026
Model-based central estimate, 68% and 95% confidence bands for OECD Composite Leading Indicator, blended across current macro regimes.
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Recession indicators distill complex economic dynamics into actionable signals. The Sahm Rule, triggered when the 3-month average unemployment rate rises 0.5 percentage points above its 12-month low, has a perfect track record since 1970. Combined with yield-curve inversions and declining leading indicators, these metrics help traders identify turning points before they become consensus.
No data available
Recent Data
Download CSV| Date | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2024 | 99.85 | +0.14% |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 99.72 | +0.11% |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 99.61 | +0.07% |
| Oct 1, 2023 | 99.53 | +0.05% |
| Sep 1, 2023 | 99.48 | +0.06% |
| Aug 1, 2023 | 99.42 | +0.09% |
| Jul 1, 2023 | 99.34 | +0.11% |
| Jun 1, 2023 | 99.23 | +0.12% |
| May 1, 2023 | 99.11 | +0.09% |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 99.02 | +0.06% |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 98.96 | +0.03% |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 98.93 | +0.00% |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 98.93 | -0.02% |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 98.95 | -0.06% |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 99 | -0.10% |
| Oct 1, 2022 | 99.1 | -0.13% |
| Sep 1, 2022 | 99.23 | -0.16% |
| Aug 1, 2022 | 99.38 | -0.20% |
| Jul 1, 2022 | 99.58 | -0.25% |
| Jun 1, 2022 | 99.82 | -0.28% |
| May 1, 2022 | 100.1 | -0.27% |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 100.37 | -0.22% |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 100.59 | -0.16% |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 100.75 | — |
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Frequently Asked Questions
▶What is OECD Composite Leading Indicator?
OECD CLI for the US, designed to anticipate turning points in the business cycle.
▶How does OECD Composite Leading Indicator relate to recession indicators?
OECD Composite Leading Indicator is part of the Recession Indicators category. Recession indicators distill complex economic dynamics into actionable signals. The Sahm Rule, triggered when the 3-month average unemployment rate rises 0.5 percentage points above its 12-month low, has a perfect track record since 1970. Combined with yield-curve inversions and declining leading indicators, these metrics help traders identify turning points before they become consensus.
▶How often is OECD Composite Leading Indicator updated?
OECD Composite Leading Indicator is updated once per month when the releasing agency publishes new data. Each metric page on Convex shows the exact time of the last data update and provides historical data going back up to five years.
▶Where does Convex source OECD Composite Leading Indicator data?
Convex sources OECD Composite Leading Indicator data from the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) API, maintained by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Data is fetched automatically and displayed alongside interactive charts, AI analysis, and historical context.
▶What can I do on the OECD Composite Leading Indicator chart page?
The OECD Composite Leading Indicator page includes an interactive chart with selectable time ranges (1 month to 5 years), percentage changes over multiple timeframes, a table of recent readings, AI-generated analysis, and links to related metrics and comparisons.
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Data sourced from FRED, CoinGecko, CBOE, CFTC, and EIA. Updated monthly. This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.