Recession Indicatorsmonthly
Leading Index for US
Conference Board Leading Economic Index, composite of 10 leading indicators.
The Leading Index for US is currently 1.72, last updated .
1.72
1W +9.55%1M +9.55%3M +9.55%
Updated 1h agoStatistical forecast 2026
Model-based central estimate, 68% and 95% confidence bands for Leading Index for US, blended across current macro regimes.
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Recession indicators distill complex economic dynamics into actionable signals. The Sahm Rule, triggered when the 3-month average unemployment rate rises 0.5 percentage points above its 12-month low, has a perfect track record since 1970. Combined with yield-curve inversions and declining leading indicators, these metrics help traders identify turning points before they become consensus.
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Latest analysis · Leading Index for US
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Leading Index for US is a component or related input for:
Recent Data
Download CSV| Date | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1.72 | +9.55% |
| Jan 1, 2020 | 1.57 | +6.08% |
| Dec 1, 2019 | 1.48 | +7.25% |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 1.38 | -2.13% |
| Oct 1, 2019 | 1.41 | -6.00% |
| Sep 1, 2019 | 1.5 | +13.64% |
| Aug 1, 2019 | 1.32 | +1.54% |
| Jul 1, 2019 | 1.3 | +17.12% |
| Jun 1, 2019 | 1.11 | -19.57% |
| May 1, 2019 | 1.38 | -1.43% |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1.4 | +16.67% |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1.2 | +9.09% |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 1.1 | +10.00% |
| Jan 1, 2019 | 1 | +1.01% |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 0.99 | -1.00% |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | -23.66% |
| Oct 1, 2018 | 1.31 | +4.80% |
| Sep 1, 2018 | 1.25 | -14.38% |
| Aug 1, 2018 | 1.46 | +7.35% |
| Jul 1, 2018 | 1.36 | -12.26% |
| Jun 1, 2018 | 1.55 | -1.27% |
| May 1, 2018 | 1.57 | -1.26% |
| Apr 1, 2018 | 1.59 | -5.92% |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1.69 | — |
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Frequently Asked Questions
▶What is Leading Index for US?
Conference Board Leading Economic Index, composite of 10 leading indicators.
▶How does Leading Index for US relate to recession indicators?
Leading Index for US is part of the Recession Indicators category. Recession indicators distill complex economic dynamics into actionable signals. The Sahm Rule, triggered when the 3-month average unemployment rate rises 0.5 percentage points above its 12-month low, has a perfect track record since 1970. Combined with yield-curve inversions and declining leading indicators, these metrics help traders identify turning points before they become consensus.
▶How often is Leading Index for US updated?
Leading Index for US is updated once per month when the releasing agency publishes new data. Each metric page on Convex shows the exact time of the last data update and provides historical data going back up to five years.
▶Where does Convex source Leading Index for US data?
Convex sources Leading Index for US data from the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) API, maintained by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Data is fetched automatically and displayed alongside interactive charts, AI analysis, and historical context.
▶What can I do on the Leading Index for US chart page?
The Leading Index for US page includes an interactive chart with selectable time ranges (1 month to 5 years), percentage changes over multiple timeframes, a table of recent readings, AI-generated analysis, and links to related metrics and comparisons.
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Data sourced from FRED, CoinGecko, CBOE, CFTC, and EIA. Updated monthly. This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.